Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MAP4K1

mitogen-activated protein kinase kinase kinase kinase 1

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-28; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including microglia; strongest in oocytes0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12495

Sealed predictions

  1. MAP4K1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.38 (p 0.309) → -0.58 (p 0.104)receipt 12505
  2. MAP4K1 in microglia, braak-0.26 (p 0.502) → -0.07 (p 0.859)receipt 12504

Swarm cases

receipt 12505: MAP4K1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.39 (p 0.105, n 18), 95% CI -0.73 to +0.09. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.43 (p 0.075, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.51 (p 0.029, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.54 to -0.32, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.39 (p 0.105, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MAP4K1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 12504: MAP4K1 in microglia, braak

power
full sample -0.14 (p 0.591, n 18), 95% CI -0.57 to +0.35. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.13 (p 0.609, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: -0.10 (p 0.683, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.30 to -0.01, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.14 (p 0.591, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MAP4K1 in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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