Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

INPP5D

inositol polyphosphate-5-phosphatase D

translation score 0.62, read 2026-10-23; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enriched in microglia (1021 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: rosiptor0.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
7 Parkinson's papers of 1540.73
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90
proposal for INPP5D, translation score 0.62

Knock down and overexpress INPP5D in microglia; measure IL-1β and TNF release and surface HLA-DR and uptake and clearance of α-synuclein fibrils and NLRP3 inflammasome activation (IL-1β release).

Cell type
microglia
Direction
Both arms: public data does not say which way helps.
Molecular readout
IL-1β and TNF release and surface HLA-DR
Functional readout
uptake and clearance of α-synuclein fibrils and NLRP3 inflammasome activation (IL-1β release)
Rule-out
If neither arm moves IL-1β by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
Lab request
CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of INPP5D in iPSC-derived microglia (iMGL); n = 3 differentiations; readouts: IL-1β and TNF release and surface HLA-DR; uptake and clearance of α-synuclein fibrils and NLRP3 inflammasome activation (IL-1β release). Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.

Sealed predictions

  1. INPP5D in dopamine neurons, braak-0.55 (p 0.123) → -0.65 (p 0.058)receipt 7792
  2. INPP5D in microglia, braak-0.05 (p 0.894) → +0.27 (p 0.487)receipt 7791

Swarm cases

receipt 7792: INPP5D in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.60 (p 0.0083, n 18), 95% CI -0.83 to -0.19. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.62 (p 0.0064, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.67 (p 0.0024, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.68 to -0.55, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.60 (p 0.0083, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for INPP5D in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 7791: INPP5D in microglia, braak

power
full sample +0.12 (p 0.627, n 18), 95% CI -0.36 to +0.56. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.07 (p 0.787, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: +0.01 (p 0.956, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.02 to +0.24, sign flips 1; without severely affected donors +0.12 (p 0.627, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in dopamine neurons: -0.60 (p 0.0083, n 18) vs +0.12 in microglia. proposing dopamine neurons.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for INPP5D in microglia.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up INPP5D · dopamine neurons · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) -0.32 p 0.248 (needs p < 2.7e-4)

Receipts

loading the receipts