Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ERBB3

erb-b2 receptor tyrosine kinase 3

translation score 0.60, read 2026-10-27; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in oligodendrocytes (307 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: patritumab deruxtecan, av-203, duligotuzumab +141.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
4 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
5 Parkinson's papers of 2,6630.76
pathways
Reactome
15 pathways; mostly growth signalling0.60
proposal for ERBB3, translation score 0.60

Knock down and overexpress ERBB3 in oligodendrocytes; measure phospho-ERK and phospho-AKT response to GDNF and α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress.

Cell type
oligodendrocytes
Direction
Both arms: public data does not say which way helps; existing compounds already reach the inhibition arm.
Molecular readout
phospho-ERK and phospho-AKT response to GDNF
Functional readout
α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress
Rule-out
If neither arm moves phospho-ERK by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
Lab request
CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of ERBB3 in iPSC-derived oligodendrocytes; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: phospho-ERK and phospho-AKT response to GDNF; α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.

Sealed predictions

  1. ERBB3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.09 (p 0.815) → -0.56 (p 0.117)receipt 11615
  2. ERBB3 in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.14 (p 0.725) → -0.74 (p 0.024)receipt 11614

Swarm cases

receipt 11615: ERBB3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.22 (p 0.389, n 18), 95% CI -0.62 to +0.28. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.26 (p 0.298, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.32 (p 0.201, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.35 to -0.10, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.22 (p 0.389, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ERBB3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 11614: ERBB3 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.08 (p 0.748, n 18), 95% CI -0.53 to +0.40. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.07 (p 0.774, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: -0.14 (p 0.567, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.20 to +0.05, sign flips 2; without severely affected donors -0.08 (p 0.748, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ERBB3 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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