Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

EPM2A

EPM2A glucan phosphatase, laforin

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-17; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.41 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in tuft cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 2420.85
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0497

Sealed predictions

  1. EPM2A in astrocytes, braak+0.20 (p 0.602) → -0.42 (p 0.258)receipt 0502
  2. EPM2A in dopamine neurons, braak-0.10 (p 0.802) → +0.54 (p 0.136)receipt 0503

Swarm cases

receipt 0503: EPM2A in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.13 (p 0.609, n 18), 95% CI -0.36 to +0.56. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.14 (p 0.579, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.15 (p 0.555, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.03 to +0.29, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.13 (p 0.609, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for EPM2A in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 0502: EPM2A in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.13 (p 0.609, n 18), 95% CI -0.56 to +0.36. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.13 (p 0.609, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.09 (p 0.728, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.25 to +0.01, sign flips 1; without severely affected donors -0.13 (p 0.609, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for EPM2A in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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