Six readers
| reader | found | score |
|---|---|---|
| genetics Open Targets | no genetic evidence; overall 0.09 from other evidence | 0.00 |
| cell type Human Protein Atlas | cell type enhanced, including microglia; strongest in neutrophil progenitors | 0.75 |
| chemistry Open Targets | a small-molecule pocket | 0.60 |
| trials ClinicalTrials.gov | no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field | 1.00 |
| literature PubMed | 20 Parkinson's papers of 2,193 | 0.60 |
| pathways Reactome | 8 pathways; mostly other | 0.30 |
No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2975
Sealed predictions
- APAF1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.11 (p 0.787) → +0.38 (p 0.316)receipt 2983
- APAF1 in microglia, braak+0.05 (p 0.894) → -0.22 (p 0.565)receipt 2982
Swarm cases
receipt 2983: APAF1 in dopamine neurons, braak
- power
- full sample +0.04 (p 0.888, n 18), 95% CI -0.44 to +0.49. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
- confounder
- adjusted for sex: +0.01 (p 0.976, n 18). does not hold up.
- composition
- dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.01 (p 0.983, n 18). could be the mix.
- skeptic
- leave-one-out range -0.04 to +0.15, sign flips 6; without severely affected donors +0.04 (p 0.888, n 18). fragile.
- cell type
- no other cell group does better.
- axis
- no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for APAF1 in dopamine neurons.
case closed: nothing better to follow up.
receipt 2982: APAF1 in microglia, braak
- power
- full sample -0.11 (p 0.677, n 18), 95% CI -0.55 to +0.38. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
- confounder
- adjusted for sex: -0.07 (p 0.794, n 18). does not hold up.
- composition
- microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: +0.00 (p 0.997, n 18). could be the mix.
- skeptic
- leave-one-out range -0.19 to +0.03, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors -0.11 (p 0.677, n 18). fragile.
- cell type
- no other cell group does better.
- axis
- no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for APAF1 in microglia.
case closed: nothing better to follow up.
Receipts
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