Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 1789

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

ATXN8 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 1788, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 1789
    18 Oct 2026, 06:35 UTC

    ATXN8

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionATXN8 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registeredd8d6aca30a574586

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    ATXN8 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    ee1dbe838638c1e87aaa49d0…
    follows ecfa29264df7…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10865 (2026-10-26 13:05 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 1789: ATXN8 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
ATXN8 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ATXN8 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.