Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 16493

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

MIR15B is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 16492, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 16493
    31 Oct 2026, 18:31 UTC


    MIR15B

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionMIR15B in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered4da60f2bfac7ff3d

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    MIR15B is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    5ae885c6132edc2263062e5a…
    follows 2b7adba4ca83…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 16493: MIR15B in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
MIR15B is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MIR15B in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.