Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 15932

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

ABTB3 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 15931, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 15932
    31 Oct 2026, 05:57 UTC

    ABTB3

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionABTB3 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered3949e304867fe387

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    ABTB3 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    996f1d9d936f02bac33af189…
    follows e364b9690e29…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 15932: ABTB3 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
ABTB3 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ABTB3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.