Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 15170

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

RAB43 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 15169, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 15170
    30 Oct 2026, 12:25 UTC

    RAB43

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionRAB43 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered25182dacb58f363c

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    RAB43 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    18589970103f6f5cd8e6386f…
    follows e31e626679c9…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 15170: RAB43 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
RAB43 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for RAB43 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.