Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 15169

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

RAB43 is not measured in microglia. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 15168, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 15169
    30 Oct 2026, 12:25 UTC

    RAB43

    microglia, braak

    predictionRAB43 in microglia tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered3798263cb4da4e5d

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    RAB43 is not measured in microglia

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    e31e626679c9adc7c1a5fdb6…
    follows 860c63ca530e…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 15169: RAB43 in microglia, braak

cell type
RAB43 is not measured in microglia; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for RAB43 in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.