Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 14149

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

HSFY1 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 14148, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 14149
    29 Oct 2026, 13:54 UTC

    HSFY1

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionHSFY1 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered74eb18b54ffa3fd9

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    HSFY1 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    569699bbea5dc041060abfda…
    follows 33679db509b4…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 14149: HSFY1 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
HSFY1 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HSFY1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.