Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 13819

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

DERL3 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 13818, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 13819
    29 Oct 2026, 06:26 UTC

    DERL3

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionDERL3 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered4ac36d5b0b154f36

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    DERL3 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    5f67948c6a2ef28ae4b36a8c…
    follows 2cb3feeef400…

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The swarm's case

receipt 13819: DERL3 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
DERL3 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for DERL3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.