Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

VIM

vimentin

translation score 0.43, read 2026-10-21; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: pritumumab0.81
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
20 Parkinson's trials, 1 stopped0.96
literature
PubMed
380 Parkinson's papers of 6,8630.22
pathways
Reactome
10 pathways; mostly lysosome and autophagy1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4992

Sealed predictions

  1. VIM in dopamine neurons, braak-0.36 (p 0.341) → +0.47 (p 0.197)receipt 4999

Swarm cases

receipt 4999: VIM in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.19 (p 0.444, n 18), 95% CI -0.30 to +0.60. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.25 (p 0.315, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.26 (p 0.306, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.08 to +0.28, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.19 (p 0.444, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in astrocytes: -0.61 (p 0.0072, n 18) vs +0.19 in dopamine neurons. proposing astrocytes.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for VIM in dopamine neurons.

case closed: every proposal failed a challenge.

Receipts

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