Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

VEGFA

vascular endothelial growth factor A

translation score 0.49, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.10 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: faricimab, pegaptanib octasodium, vanucizumab +100.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
8 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
35 Parkinson's papers of 15,1830.53
pathways
Reactome
10 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2558

Sealed predictions

  1. VEGFA in dopamine neurons, braak-0.25 (p 0.508) → +0.11 (p 0.787)receipt 2566

Swarm cases

receipt 2566: VEGFA in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.05 (p 0.834, n 18), 95% CI -0.51 to +0.42. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.01 (p 0.956, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.06 (p 0.820, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.22 to +0.05, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors -0.05 (p 0.834, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for VEGFA in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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