Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

VCL

vinculin

translation score 0.47, read 2026-10-27; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
4 Parkinson's papers of 1,5120.79
pathways
Reactome
15 pathways; mostly growth signalling0.60

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12408

Sealed predictions

  1. VCL in dopamine neurons, braak-0.09 (p 0.815) → +0.20 (p 0.615)receipt 12416

Swarm cases

receipt 12416: VCL in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.01 (p 0.983, n 18), 95% CI -0.46 to +0.47. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.05 (p 0.847, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.07 (p 0.781, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.15 to +0.13, sign flips 7; without severely affected donors +0.01 (p 0.983, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for VCL in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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