Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

UGCG

UDP-glucose ceramide glucosyltransferase

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.09 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: venglustat, lucerastat, eliglustat tartrate +21.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 1 stopped0.20
literature
PubMed
6 Parkinson's papers of 1840.74
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly lysosome and autophagy1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2879

Sealed predictions

  1. UGCG in dopamine neurons, braak-0.17 (p 0.656) → +0.02 (p 0.964)receipt 2886

Swarm cases

receipt 2886: UGCG in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.24 (p 0.328, n 18), 95% CI -0.64 to +0.25. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.34 (p 0.173, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.29 (p 0.235, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.37 to -0.15, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.24 (p 0.328, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for UGCG in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

loading the receipts