Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

UBE2D3

ubiquitin conjugating enzyme E2 D3

translation score 0.53, read 2026-10-26; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
3 Parkinson's papers of 1060.82
pathways
Reactome
14 pathways; mostly mitochondrial quality control1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 11294

Sealed predictions

  1. UBE2D3 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.47 (p 0.197) → +0.11 (p 0.770)receipt 11301

Swarm cases

receipt 11301: UBE2D3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.32 (p 0.201, n 18), 95% CI -0.18 to +0.68. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.34 (p 0.164, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.48 (p 0.045, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.23 to +0.44, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.32 (p 0.201, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for UBE2D3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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