Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

TUB

TUB bipartite transcription factor

translation score 0.37, read 2026-10-26; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.50
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
5 Parkinson's papers of 1,9680.76
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 11319

Sealed predictions

  1. TUB in dopamine neurons, braak+0.02 (p 0.964) → -0.45 (p 0.230)receipt 11325

Swarm cases

receipt 11325: TUB in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.22 (p 0.374, n 18), 95% CI -0.62 to +0.27. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.21 (p 0.398, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.38 (p 0.118, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.37 to -0.11, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.22 (p 0.374, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TUB in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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