Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

TRIO

trio Rho guanine nucleotide exchange factor

translation score 0.35, read 2026-10-29; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.40
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
37 Parkinson's papers of 5,7740.52
pathways
Reactome
11 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 14230

Sealed predictions

  1. TRIO in dopamine neurons, braak-0.66 (p 0.054) → -0.57 (p 0.109)receipt 14239

Swarm cases

receipt 14239: TRIO in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.60 (p 0.0089, n 18), 95% CI -0.83 to -0.18. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.56 (p 0.016, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.68 (p 0.0021, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.68 to -0.54, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.60 (p 0.0089, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TRIO in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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