Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

TNRC18

trinucleotide repeat containing 18

translation score 0.36, read 2026-10-26; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 11130

Sealed predictions

  1. TNRC18 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.44 (p 0.234) → -0.37 (p 0.321)receipt 11137

Swarm cases

receipt 11137: TNRC18 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.36 (p 0.148, n 18), 95% CI -0.71 to +0.13. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.33 (p 0.179, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.42 (p 0.080, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.47 to -0.27, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.36 (p 0.148, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in microglia: -0.59 (p 0.0099, n 18) vs -0.36 in dopamine neurons. proposing microglia.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TNRC18 in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up TNRC18 · microglia · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) -0.80 p 0.0045 (needs p < 2.0e-4)

Receipts

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