Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

RFX4

regulatory factor X4

translation score 0.39, read 2026-10-28; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in pituitary stem cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 570.91
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12731

Sealed predictions

  1. RFX4 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.38 (p 0.311) → -0.13 (p 0.741)receipt 12741
  2. RFX4 in astrocytes, braak+0.23 (p 0.554) → +0.00 (p 1.000)receipt 12740

Swarm cases

receipt 12741: RFX4 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.26 (p 0.302, n 18), 95% CI -0.24 to +0.65. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.24 (p 0.332, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.26 (p 0.302, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.17 to +0.40, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.26 (p 0.302, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for RFX4 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 12740: RFX4 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.09 (p 0.715, n 18), 95% CI -0.39 to +0.54. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.09 (p 0.715, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: +0.12 (p 0.640, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.04 to +0.18, sign flips 2; without severely affected donors +0.09 (p 0.715, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for RFX4 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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