Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

PRDM16

PR/SET domain 16

translation score 0.41, read 2026-10-27; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in choroid plexus epithelial cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
3 Parkinson's papers of 1,0400.82
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12013

Sealed predictions

  1. PRDM16 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.66 (p 0.051) → -0.37 (p 0.334)receipt 12021
  2. PRDM16 in astrocytes, braak+0.09 (p 0.825) → -0.41 (p 0.273)receipt 12020

Swarm cases

receipt 12021: PRDM16 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.40 (p 0.101, n 18), 95% CI -0.73 to +0.08. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.37 (p 0.127, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.56 (p 0.015, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.52 to -0.32, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.40 (p 0.101, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for PRDM16 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 12020: PRDM16 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.17 (p 0.509, n 18), 95% CI -0.59 to +0.33. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.15 (p 0.549, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.23 (p 0.369, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.30 to -0.06, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.17 (p 0.509, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for PRDM16 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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