Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

POU3F2

POU class 3 homeobox 2

translation score 0.47, read 2026-10-28; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in astrocytes (96 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 1670.91
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 13400

Sealed predictions

  1. POU3F2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.29 (p 0.457) → +0.33 (p 0.387)receipt 13408
  2. POU3F2 in astrocytes, braak-0.15 (p 0.702) → +0.42 (p 0.258)receipt 13407

Swarm cases

receipt 13408: POU3F2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.00 (p 0.990, n 18), 95% CI -0.46 to +0.47. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.07 (p 0.794, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.10 (p 0.696, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.12 to +0.16, sign flips 12; without severely affected donors +0.00 (p 0.990, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for POU3F2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 13407: POU3F2 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.03 (p 0.915, n 18), 95% CI -0.45 to +0.49. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.03 (p 0.915, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: +0.26 (p 0.306, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.08 to +0.16, sign flips 7; without severely affected donors +0.03 (p 0.915, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for POU3F2 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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