Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ORAI1

ORAI calcium release-activated calcium modulator 1

translation score 0.54, read 2026-10-28; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including microglia; strongest in choroid plexus epithelial cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
8 Parkinson's papers of 2,1770.71
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12971

Sealed predictions

  1. ORAI1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.52 (p 0.151) → +0.23 (p 0.551)receipt 12980
  2. ORAI1 in microglia, braak+0.17 (p 0.663) → -0.60 (p 0.086)receipt 12979

Swarm cases

receipt 12980: ORAI1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.17 (p 0.509, n 18), 95% CI -0.59 to +0.33. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.17 (p 0.509, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.31 (p 0.218, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.31 to -0.07, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.17 (p 0.509, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ORAI1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 12979: ORAI1 in microglia, braak

power
full sample -0.18 (p 0.487, n 18), 95% CI -0.59 to +0.32. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.13 (p 0.609, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: -0.18 (p 0.476, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.32 to -0.08, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.18 (p 0.487, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ORAI1 in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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