Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NPAS3

neuronal PAS domain protein 3

translation score 0.37, read 2026-10-20; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.06 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in bergmann glia0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
4 Parkinson's papers of 980.79
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4458

Sealed predictions

  1. NPAS3 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.13 (p 0.733) → +0.45 (p 0.230)receipt 4466
  2. NPAS3 in astrocytes, braak+0.13 (p 0.732) → +0.33 (p 0.385)receipt 4465

Swarm cases

receipt 4466: NPAS3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.24 (p 0.341, n 18), 95% CI -0.26 to +0.63. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.25 (p 0.310, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.25 (p 0.319, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.16 to +0.39, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.24 (p 0.341, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NPAS3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 4465: NPAS3 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.27 (p 0.273, n 18), 95% CI -0.22 to +0.66. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.25 (p 0.310, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: +0.25 (p 0.310, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.19 to +0.35, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.27 (p 0.273, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NPAS3 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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