Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NIPA1

NIPA magnesium transporter 1

translation score 0.51, read 2026-11-01; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in oligodendrocytes (70 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 1300.85
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 16964

Sealed predictions

  1. NIPA1 in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.04 (p 0.912) → -0.21 (p 0.581)receipt 16971
  2. NIPA1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.37 (p 0.334) → -0.43 (p 0.253)receipt 16972

Swarm cases

receipt 16972: NIPA1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.03 (p 0.894, n 18), 95% CI -0.44 to +0.49. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.16 (p 0.515, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.14 (p 0.585, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.12 to +0.11, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors +0.03 (p 0.894, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NIPA1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 16971: NIPA1 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.12 (p 0.640, n 18), 95% CI -0.55 to +0.37. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.12 (p 0.640, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: -0.10 (p 0.702, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.25 to -0.01, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.12 (p 0.640, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NIPA1 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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