Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NELL2

neural EGFL like 2

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-30; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including brain excitatory neurons; strongest in thyrotrophs0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.36
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 1440.91
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 15458

Sealed predictions

  1. NELL2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.84 (p 0.005) → +0.13 (p 0.741)receipt 15465

Swarm cases

receipt 15465: NELL2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.55 (p 0.019, n 18), 95% CI +0.11 to +0.81. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.60 (p 0.0086, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.56 (p 0.016, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.48 to +0.74, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.55 (p 0.019, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NELL2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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