Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MTERF4

mitochondrial transcription termination factor 4

translation score 0.54, read 2026-10-30; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 310.91
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly mitochondrial quality control1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 15549

Sealed predictions

  1. MTERF4 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.01 (p 0.982) → -0.65 (p 0.058)receipt 15556

Swarm cases

receipt 15556: MTERF4 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.32 (p 0.198, n 18), 95% CI -0.68 to +0.17. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.40 (p 0.103, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.35 (p 0.153, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.43 to -0.22, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.32 (p 0.198, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in astrocytes: +0.69 (p 0.0017, n 18) vs -0.32 in dopamine neurons. proposing astrocytes.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MTERF4 in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up MTERF4 · astrocytes · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) -0.13 p 0.657 (needs p < 1.5e-4)

Receipts

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