Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

LIPA

lipase A, lysosomal acid type

translation score 0.46, read 2026-10-30; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocytes; strongest in kupffer cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
3 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
9 Parkinson's papers of 1,9920.70
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 15292

Sealed predictions

  1. LIPA in dopamine neurons, braak+0.31 (p 0.414) → -0.16 (p 0.672)receipt 15301
  2. LIPA in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.11 (p 0.784) → +0.45 (p 0.224)receipt 15300

Swarm cases

receipt 15301: LIPA in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.14 (p 0.591, n 18), 95% CI -0.35 to +0.57. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.14 (p 0.591, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.23 (p 0.369, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.05 to +0.31, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.14 (p 0.591, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for LIPA in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 15300: LIPA in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.30 (p 0.228, n 18), 95% CI -0.20 to +0.67. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.26 (p 0.294, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.32 (p 0.194, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.20 to +0.47, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.30 (p 0.228, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for LIPA in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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