Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

IFITM3

interferon induced transmembrane protein 3

translation score 0.49, read 2026-10-27; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
3 Parkinson's papers of 7930.82
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12034

Sealed predictions

  1. IFITM3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.83 (p 0.005) → -0.15 (p 0.697)receipt 12040

Swarm cases

receipt 12040: IFITM3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.50 (p 0.033, n 18), 95% CI -0.79 to -0.05. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.50 (p 0.033, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.46 (p 0.057, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.62 to -0.44, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.50 (p 0.033, n 18). robust.
cell type
strongest in astrocytes: -0.64 (p 0.0040, n 18) vs -0.50 in dopamine neurons. proposing astrocytes.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for IFITM3 in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up IFITM3 · astrocytes · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) +0.65 p 0.021 (needs p < 1.8e-4)

Receipts

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