Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

HMGCS2

3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-CoA synthase 2

translation score 0.52, read 2026-10-29; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced outside the brain (hepatocytes)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly mitochondrial quality control1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 14106

Sealed predictions

  1. HMGCS2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.49 (p 0.182) → +0.32 (p 0.400)receipt 14113

Swarm cases

receipt 14113: HMGCS2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.16 (p 0.521, n 18), 95% CI -0.58 to +0.33. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.18 (p 0.476, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.34 (p 0.164, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.28 to -0.05, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.16 (p 0.521, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HMGCS2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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