Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

HLA-G

major histocompatibility complex, class I, G

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-28; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enriched outside the brain (extravillous trophoblasts)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.50
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
7 pathways; mostly lysosome and autophagy1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12453

Sealed predictions

  1. HLA-G in dopamine neurons, braak-0.11 (p 0.787) → +0.33 (p 0.393)receipt 12460

Swarm cases

receipt 12460: HLA-G in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.03 (p 0.922, n 18), 95% CI -0.49 to +0.45. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.01 (p 0.976, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.03 (p 0.922, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.18 to +0.06, sign flips 8; without severely affected donors -0.03 (p 0.922, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HLA-G in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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