Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

FMN2

formin 2

translation score 0.47, read 2026-10-25; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in podocytes0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 9531

Sealed predictions

  1. FMN2 in astrocytes, braak-0.01 (p 0.982) → +0.21 (p 0.583)receipt 9538
  2. FMN2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.45 (p 0.227) → +0.26 (p 0.493)receipt 9539

Swarm cases

receipt 9539: FMN2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.35 (p 0.153, n 18), 95% CI -0.14 to +0.70. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.43 (p 0.074, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.43 (p 0.074, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.27 to +0.52, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.35 (p 0.153, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for FMN2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 9538: FMN2 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.01 (p 0.969, n 18), 95% CI -0.46 to +0.47. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.03 (p 0.901, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.00 (p 0.997, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.13 to +0.16, sign flips 7; without severely affected donors +0.01 (p 0.969, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for FMN2 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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