Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ETNPPL

ethanolamine-phosphate phospho-lyase

translation score 0.52, read 2026-10-21; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in astrocytes (514 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.40
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 410.91
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5203

Sealed predictions

  1. ETNPPL in dopamine neurons, braak+0.13 (p 0.735) → +0.24 (p 0.530)receipt 5212
  2. ETNPPL in astrocytes, braak+0.10 (p 0.807) → -0.06 (p 0.873)receipt 5211

Swarm cases

receipt 5212: ETNPPL in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.24 (p 0.328, n 18), 95% CI -0.25 to +0.64. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.23 (p 0.360, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.26 (p 0.306, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.18 to +0.44, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.24 (p 0.328, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ETNPPL in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 5211: ETNPPL in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.03 (p 0.922, n 18), 95% CI -0.49 to +0.45. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.01 (p 0.969, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: +0.11 (p 0.658, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.16 to +0.08, sign flips 10; without severely affected donors -0.03 (p 0.922, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ETNPPL in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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