Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ERMN

ermin

translation score 0.45, read 2026-10-22; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched, including oligodendrocytes; strongest in retinal pigment epithelial cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.27
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5921

Sealed predictions

  1. ERMN in dopamine neurons, braak+0.22 (p 0.576) → +0.21 (p 0.581)receipt 5930
  2. ERMN in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.52 (p 0.148) → -0.26 (p 0.502)receipt 5929

Swarm cases

receipt 5930: ERMN in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.26 (p 0.294, n 18), 95% CI -0.23 to +0.65. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.25 (p 0.310, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.35 (p 0.150, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.19 to +0.46, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.26 (p 0.294, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ERMN in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 5929: ERMN in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.06 (p 0.814, n 18), 95% CI -0.42 to +0.51. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.11 (p 0.671, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.09 (p 0.715, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.06 to +0.19, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors +0.06 (p 0.814, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ERMN in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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