Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

EPS15L1

epidermal growth factor receptor pathway substrate 15 like 1

translation score 0.54, read 2026-10-17; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.31 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly vesicle traffic1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 1219

Sealed predictions

  1. EPS15L1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.69 (p 0.041) → +0.01 (p 0.982)receipt 1226

Swarm cases

receipt 1226: EPS15L1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.40 (p 0.097, n 18), 95% CI -0.73 to +0.08. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.44 (p 0.067, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.58 (p 0.013, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.53 to -0.33, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.40 (p 0.097, n 18). robust.
cell type
strongest in OPCs: -0.65 (p 0.0037, n 18) vs -0.40 in dopamine neurons. proposing OPCs.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for EPS15L1 in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up EPS15L1 · OPCs · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) -0.53 p 0.062 (needs p < 0.0011)

Receipts

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