Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

EFR3B

EFR3 homolog B

translation score 0.47, read 2026-10-31; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in retinal pigment epithelial cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 16267

Sealed predictions

  1. EFR3B in dopamine neurons, braak-0.33 (p 0.385) → -0.29 (p 0.457)receipt 16275
  2. EFR3B in astrocytes, braak+0.19 (p 0.618) → +0.22 (p 0.563)receipt 16274

Swarm cases

receipt 16275: EFR3B in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.32 (p 0.194, n 18), 95% CI -0.69 to +0.17. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.32 (p 0.194, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.33 (p 0.176, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.42 to -0.22, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.32 (p 0.194, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for EFR3B in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 16274: EFR3B in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.11 (p 0.664, n 18), 95% CI -0.38 to +0.55. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.11 (p 0.664, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: +0.06 (p 0.820, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.02 to +0.24, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.11 (p 0.664, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for EFR3B in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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