Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

DST

dystonin

translation score 0.40, read 2026-10-19; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.09 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocytes; strongest in basal keratinocytes0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.27
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
6 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
27 Parkinson's papers of 5,7060.56
pathways
Reactome
7 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2891

Sealed predictions

  1. DST in dopamine neurons, braak-0.10 (p 0.807) → +0.18 (p 0.652)receipt 2899
  2. DST in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.79 (p 0.011) → +0.15 (p 0.699)receipt 2898

Swarm cases

receipt 2899: DST in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.07 (p 0.794, n 18), 95% CI -0.52 to +0.41. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.01 (p 0.956, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.05 (p 0.854, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.21 to +0.05, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors -0.07 (p 0.794, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for DST in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 2898: DST in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.41 (p 0.091, n 18), 95% CI -0.07 to +0.74. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.41 (p 0.091, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.62 (p 0.0062, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.34 to +0.56, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.41 (p 0.091, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for DST in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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