Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

DCT

dopachrome tautomerase

translation score 0.41, read 2026-10-30; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
2 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
4 Parkinson's papers of 3,9710.79
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 14946

Sealed predictions

  1. DCT in dopamine neurons, braak+0.10 (p 0.802) → +0.33 (p 0.385)receipt 14953

Swarm cases

receipt 14953: DCT in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.29 (p 0.250, n 18), 95% CI -0.21 to +0.66. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.32 (p 0.201, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.32 (p 0.201, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.23 to +0.48, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.29 (p 0.250, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for DCT in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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