Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CTNND2

catenin delta 2

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-22; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in astrocytes (4013 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.27
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 6024

Sealed predictions

  1. CTNND2 in astrocytes, braak+0.78 (p 0.014) → -0.40 (p 0.287)receipt 6030
  2. CTNND2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.25 (p 0.518) → -0.29 (p 0.456)receipt 6031

Swarm cases

receipt 6031: CTNND2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.26 (p 0.289, n 18), 95% CI -0.65 to +0.23. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.28 (p 0.261, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.38 (p 0.125, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.34 to -0.17, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.26 (p 0.289, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CTNND2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 6030: CTNND2 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.10 (p 0.702, n 18), 95% CI -0.39 to +0.54. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.09 (p 0.722, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: +0.08 (p 0.761, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.02 to +0.26, sign flips 1; without severely affected donors +0.10 (p 0.702, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CTNND2 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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