Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CSF2RA

colony stimulating factor 2 receptor subunit alpha

translation score 0.55, read 2026-10-21; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: sargramostim, mavrilimumab0.81
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
4 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 1300.85
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5117

Sealed predictions

  1. CSF2RA in dopamine neurons, braak-0.44 (p 0.232) → -0.73 (p 0.025)receipt 5125

Swarm cases

receipt 5125: CSF2RA in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.58 (p 0.011, n 18), 95% CI -0.82 to -0.16. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.57 (p 0.013, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.60 (p 0.0080, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.65 to -0.52, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.58 (p 0.011, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CSF2RA in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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