Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CREB3

cAMP responsive element binding protein 3

translation score 0.39, read 2026-10-31; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.36
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 1930.91
pathways
Reactome
Reactome did not answer (Reactome: HTTP 521)0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 15632

Sealed predictions

  1. CREB3 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.20 (p 0.613) → -0.21 (p 0.591)receipt 15638

Swarm cases

receipt 15638: CREB3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.01 (p 0.956, n 18), 95% CI -0.46 to +0.48. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.00 (p 0.990, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.05 (p 0.847, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.10 to +0.14, sign flips 6; without severely affected donors +0.01 (p 0.956, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CREB3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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