Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CERS3

ceramide synthase 3

translation score 0.46, read 2026-10-28; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched outside the brain (esophageal apical cells)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.36
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 920.85
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly lysosome and autophagy1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12719

Sealed predictions

  1. CERS3 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.52 (p 0.151) → +0.37 (p 0.321)receipt 12727

Swarm cases

receipt 12727: CERS3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.44 (p 0.066, n 18), 95% CI -0.03 to +0.75. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.48 (p 0.045, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.51 (p 0.029, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.36 to +0.54, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.44 (p 0.066, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CERS3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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