Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CASP1

caspase 1

translation score 0.50, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.09 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: belnacasan, emricasan, nivocasan0.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
25 Parkinson's papers of 1,3730.57
pathways
Reactome
11 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2857

Sealed predictions

  1. CASP1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.00 (p 1.000) → +0.42 (p 0.258)receipt 2864

Swarm cases

receipt 2864: CASP1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.27 (p 0.277, n 18), 95% CI -0.22 to +0.65. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.26 (p 0.306, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.23 (p 0.355, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.19 to +0.43, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.27 (p 0.277, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CASP1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

loading the receipts