Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

BMF

Bcl2 modifying factor

translation score 0.52, read 2026-10-31; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
4 Parkinson's papers of 1,3270.79
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly mitochondrial quality control1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 16379

Sealed predictions

  1. BMF in dopamine neurons, braak-0.34 (p 0.367) → +0.00 (p 1.000)receipt 16386

Swarm cases

receipt 16386: BMF in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.26 (p 0.294, n 18), 95% CI -0.65 to +0.23. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.29 (p 0.239, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.34 (p 0.164, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.36 to -0.17, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.26 (p 0.294, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BMF in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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