Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

BID

BH3 interacting domain death agonist

translation score 0.45, read 2026-10-24; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
238 Parkinson's trials, 4 stopped0.94
literature
PubMed
63 Parkinson's papers of 14,9670.45
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly mitochondrial quality control1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 9015

Sealed predictions

  1. BID in dopamine neurons, braak-0.60 (p 0.089) → -0.16 (p 0.682)receipt 9023

Swarm cases

receipt 9023: BID in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.29 (p 0.235, n 18), 95% CI -0.67 to +0.20. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.39 (p 0.114, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.39 (p 0.109, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.49 to -0.20, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.29 (p 0.235, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in microglia: -0.61 (p 0.0072, n 18) vs -0.29 in dopamine neurons. proposing microglia.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BID in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up BID · microglia · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) -0.20 p 0.477 (needs p < 2.4e-4)

Receipts

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