Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

BCL3

BCL3 transcription coactivator

translation score 0.41, read 2026-10-26; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 9360.91
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 10877

Sealed predictions

  1. BCL3 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.10 (p 0.802) → -0.58 (p 0.103)receipt 10884

Swarm cases

receipt 10884: BCL3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.29 (p 0.235, n 18), 95% CI -0.67 to +0.20. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.29 (p 0.235, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.38 (p 0.116, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.43 to -0.20, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.29 (p 0.235, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BCL3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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