Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ATXN3

ataxin 3

translation score 0.54, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
genetic association 0.38 (overall 0.25)0.38
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.50
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
46 Parkinson's papers of 4820.49
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly iron and oxidative stress0.80

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 1689

Sealed predictions

  1. ATXN3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.75 (p 0.021) → -0.05 (p 0.893)receipt 1695

Swarm cases

receipt 1695: ATXN3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.29 (p 0.243, n 18), 95% CI -0.67 to +0.20. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.29 (p 0.243, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.18 (p 0.482, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.46 to -0.20, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.29 (p 0.243, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ATXN3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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