Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ARX

aristaless related homeobox

translation score 0.35, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.10 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including brain inhibitory neurons; strongest in leydig cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
9 Parkinson's papers of 1,0770.70
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2615

Sealed predictions

  1. ARX in dopamine neurons, braak-0.30 (p 0.428) → +0.04 (p 0.912)receipt 2622

Swarm cases

receipt 2622: ARX in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.01 (p 0.983, n 18), 95% CI -0.47 to +0.46. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.16 (p 0.521, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.20 (p 0.434, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.11 to +0.11, sign flips 8; without severely affected donors -0.01 (p 0.983, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARX in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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