Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ARVCF

ARVCF delta catenin family member

translation score 0.45, read 2026-10-20; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.07 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in epididymal principal cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.27
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 3870

Sealed predictions

  1. ARVCF in astrocytes, braak-0.24 (p 0.534) → +0.16 (p 0.672)receipt 3877
  2. ARVCF in dopamine neurons, braak-0.27 (p 0.474) → -0.52 (p 0.154)receipt 3878

Swarm cases

receipt 3878: ARVCF in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.37 (p 0.132, n 18), 95% CI -0.71 to +0.12. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.35 (p 0.156, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.47 (p 0.049, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.49 to -0.29, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.37 (p 0.132, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARVCF in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 3877: ARVCF in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.12 (p 0.646, n 18), 95% CI -0.55 to +0.37. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.18 (p 0.476, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.14 (p 0.573, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.24 to -0.02, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.12 (p 0.646, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARVCF in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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